While meteorologists including those with the Colorado State University (CSU) have said that this year’s hurricane season predictions will be less active, the Caribbean could expect to see at least three major storms. An announcement by the weather forecasting service, AccuWeather, shares a forecast of a below average season.
Based on the weather phenomenon in the Pacific Ocean that seems to impact global weather patterns -El Nino, the meteorologists have came up with this prediction of an expected reduced activity on it’s reappearance. El Nino, which warms the waters of the Pacific Ocean, prevents the development of hurricanes in the Atlantic basin.
Phil Klotzbach of CSU’s hurricane research team is predicting 11 named storms, four hurricanes and two major hurricanes of Category 3 strength or higher.
“April predictions are never super confident, but this year I’m a little less confident given the El Niño issue,” Klotzbach, who released the report at the National Tropical Weather Conference in South Padre Island, Texas, said. “If El Niño does ramp up, that will make for a more quiet hurricane season.”
AccuWeather had said the June 1 to November season “will likely produce about ten storms large enough to be given names by meteorologists”, and half of those could development into hurricanes – three of them large enough to be considered major hurricanes.
Since 2012 that had 15 named storms and seven hurricanes, the 2016 hurricane seasons has been the most active with the disastrous Category 4 Hurricane Matthew.